Plasma physics: The fusion upstarts
Fuelled by venture capital and a lot of hope, alternative fusion technologies are heating up.
Hubert Kang Photography
General Fusion's reactor would use massive pistons to crush fuel in a spinning vortex of liquid lead.
To reach one of the world's most secretive
nuclear-fusion companies, visitors must wind their way through a
suburban office park at the foot of the Santa Ana Mountains, just east
of Irvine, California, until they pull up outside the large but unmarked
headquarters of Tri Alpha Energy.
This is as close as any outsider can get
without signing a non-disclosure agreement; Tri Alpha protects its trade
secrets so tightly that it does not even have a website. But the
fragments of information that have filtered out make it clear that the
building houses one of the largest fusion experiments now operating in
the United States. It is also one of the most unconventional. Instead of
using the doughnut-shaped 'tokamak' reactor that has dominated
fusion-energy research for more than 40 years, Tri Alpha is testing a
linear reactor that it claims will be smaller, simpler and cheaper — and
will lead to commercial fusion power in little more than a decade, far
ahead of the 30 to 50 years often quoted for tokamaks.
That
sounds particularly appealing at a time when the world's leading fusion
project, a giant tokamak named ITER, is mired in delays and cost
overruns. The facility, being built in Cadarache, France, is expected to
be the first fusion reactor capable of generating an excess of energy
from a sustained burn of its plasma fuel. But it looks set to cost as
much as US$50 billion — about 10 times the original estimate — and will
not begin its
first fuelled experiments before 2027, 11 years behind
schedule.
LISTEN
Mitch Waldrop pits the fusion upstarts against the establishment projects. Can the smaller schemes deliver?
With ITER consuming the lion's share
of the US fusion-energy budget, fans of alternative approaches have
scant government support. But growing impatience with the tokamak
technology has spurred the Tri Alpha team and many other physicists in
the United States and Canada to pursue different options. Over the past
decade and a half, these mavericks have launched at least half a dozen
companies to pursue alternative designs for fusion reactors. Some are
reporting encouraging results, not to mention attracting sizeable
investments. Tri Alpha itself has raised $150 million from the likes of
Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen and the Russian government's
venture-capital firm, Rusnano.
But that
success is bringing increased scrutiny of their bold promises. Tri Alpha
“has got very tough problems to overcome as it starts scaling up to
reactor size”, says Jeffrey Freidberg, a nuclear physicist at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in Cambridge. For example,
the company must prove that it can achieve the billion-kelvin
temperatures needed to burn the exotic fuel it wants to use, and must
demonstrate a practical way to convert the energy output into
electricity. Similar questions could be raised about any of the other
upstarts, says Stephen Dean, who heads Fusion Power Associates, an
advocacy group in Gaithersburg, Maryland. “I don't think you can
honestly say that any of these things are at the stage where fusion can
be demonstrated quickly,” he says.
Will
alternative fusion companies be able to sustain their momentum and
justify their founders' optimism? Or
will they fizzle like so many
fusion dreams before them?
Follow the Sun
In
principle, building a fusion reactor is just a matter of imitating the
Sun. Take the appropriate isotopes of hydrogen or other light elements,
add heat to strip the electrons from the nuclei and form an ionized
plasma, then compress that plasma and hold it together for a while,
allowing the nuclei to fuse and convert a portion of their mass into
energy. But in practice, trying to mimic a star leads to horrendous
engineering problems: for example, hot plasma trapped in a magnetic
field tends to twist and turn like an enraged snake struggling to
escape.
Fusion researchers have long favoured
tokamaks as the best way to contain this plasma beast. Developed by
Soviet physicists in the 1950s and announced to the West a decade later,
the reactors achieved plasma densities, temperatures and confinement
times much higher than any machine before them. And as physicists
refined the design, they improved the way that tokamaks controlled
high-energy plasma.
But from the beginning, many physicists
have wondered whether tokamaks could ever be scaled up to achieve
commercial power output. They are dauntingly complex, for starters. The
toroidal chamber has to be wound with multiple sets of electromagnetic
coils to shape the magnetic field that confines the plasma. And more
coils run through the doughnut hole to drive a powerful electric current
through the plasma.
Then
there is the fuel, a mixture of the hydrogen isotopes deuterium (D) and
tritium (T). D–T is widely regarded as the only sane choice for a power
reactor because it ignites at a lower temperature than any other
combination — only about 100 million kelvin — and releases much more
energy. But 80% of that energy emerges from the reaction in the form of
speeding neutrons, which would wreak havoc on the walls of a power
reactor, leaving them highly radioactive. To generate electricity, the
neutrons' energy would have to be used to heat water in a conventional
steam turbine — a process that is only 30–40% efficient.
Cost,
complexity and slow progress have also dogged inertial-confinement
fusion, the most prominent alternative to the tokamaks' magnetic
confinement. This approach, in which frozen fuel pellets are imploded by
high-powered laser beams, has also received a lot of government
funding. But despite decades of effort on inertial confinement,
initiatives such as the National Ignition Facility at Lawrence Livermore
National Laboratory in Livermore, California, are still struggling to
deliver on their fusion-power promises (see
Ignition Switch).
Radical departure
Such
concerns have sparked some enthusiasm for the stellarator: a toroidal
device that simplifies certain aspects of the tokamak but requires even
more complex magnets. But most mainstream plasma physicists have simply
left the practical engineering issues for later, assuming that fixes
will emerge after the plasma physics has been worked out. The fusion
mavericks are among the minority who argue that a more radical solution
is needed: first get the engineering right, by designing a simple, cheap
reactor that power companies might actually want to buy, and then try
to make the plasmas behave.
One of those
upstarts is Norman Rostoker, a physicist at the University of
California, Irvine, who co-founded Tri Alpha in 1998 at the age of 72.
He and his colleagues proposed ditching D–T fuel in favour of fusing
protons with boron-11, a stable isotope that comprises about 80% of
natural boron. Igniting this p–
11B fuel would require
temperatures of about a billion kelvin, almost 100 times as hot as the
core of the Sun. And the energy created in each fusion event would be
only about half that released by D–T. But the reaction products would be
practically free of troublesome neutrons: the fusion would generate
just three energetic helium nuclei, also known as α-particles. These are
charged, so they could be guided by magnetic fields into an 'inverse
cyclotron' device that would convert their energy into an ordinary
electric current with around 90% efficiency.
Burning a billion-kelvin p–
11B
plasma in a tokamak was out of the question, not least because
unfeasibly large magnetic fields would be needed to confine it. So
Rostoker and his colleagues designed a linear reactor that looks like
two cannons pointed barrel to barrel. Each cannon would fire rings of
plasma called plasmoids that are known to be remarkably stable: the flow
of ions in the plasma would generate a magnetic field, which in turn
would keep the plasma confined. “It's the most ideal configuration you
could imagine,” says Alan Hoffman, a plasma physicist at the University
of Washington in Seattle.
To start the
reactor, each cannon would fire a plasmoid into a central chamber, where
the two would merge into a larger, free-floating plasmoid that would
survive for as long as it could be fed with additional fuel. The
α-particles emerging from the reaction would be guided back through the
cannons by another magnetic field, and captured in the energy converter.
“Will fusion companies be able to sustain their momentum — or will they fizzle?”
By the time the team published this concept
in 1997, it was becoming clear that the US energy department was not
going to fund development of the machine, preferring instead to focus on
tokamaks, which seemed to be a safer bet. “The big experiments have
been funded for decades, so there's little chance they won't meet their
milestones,” says John Slough, a plasma physicist at the University of
Washington. “If they start funding these alternatives, all the
uncertainties come back.”
So Rostoker and his
colleagues decided to take advantage of the United States' robust
culture of high-tech startups and venture-capital funding. They formed a
company, naming it Tri Alpha after the output of the p–
11B reaction, and went on to raise enough investment to employ more than 100 people.
Dean
suspects that the start-up mindset may explain why Tri Alpha is so
secretive. “It's part of the mystique of being a venture-capital-funded
company: develop your ideas before anyone else can see them,” he says.
But over the past five years or so, the company has started to let its
employees publish results and present at conferences. With its current
test machine, a 10-metre device called the C-2, Tri Alpha has shown that
the colliding plasmoids merge as expected
,
and that the fireball can sustain itself for up to 4 milliseconds —
impressively long by plasma-physics standards — as long as fuel beams
are being injected
.
Last year, Tri Alpha researcher Houyang Guo announced at a plasma
conference in Fort Worth, Texas, that the burn duration had increased to
5 milliseconds. The company is now looking for cash to build a larger
machine.
“As a science programme, it's been
highly successful,” says Hoffman, who reviewed the work for Allen when
the billionaire was deciding whether to invest. “But it's not p–
11B.”
So far, he says, Tri Alpha has run its C-2 only with deuterium, and it
is a long way from achieving the extreme plasma conditions needed to
burn its ultimate fuel.
Nor has Tri Alpha
demonstrated direct conversion of α-particles to electricity. “I haven't
seen any schemes that would actually work in practice,” says Martin
Greenwald, an MIT physicist and former chair of the energy department's
fusion-energy advisory committee. Indeed, Tri Alpha is planning that its
first-generation power reactor would use a more conventional
steam-turbine system. Other fusion entrepreneurs will have to tackle
similar challenges, but that has not deterred them. Slough is chief
scientific officer at Helion Energy in Redmond, Washington, which is
developing a linear colliding-beam reactor that would be small enough to
be carried on the back of a large truck. The Helion reactor will fire a
steady stream of plasmoids from each side into a chamber, where the
fuel is crushed by magnetic fields until fusion begins. Within one
second, the fusion products are channelled away just as the next pair of
plasmoids hurtles in. “The analogy we like to make is to a diesel
engine,” says the company's chief executive, David Kirtley. “On each
stroke you inject the fuel, compress it with the piston it until it
ignites without needing a spark, and the explosion pushes back on the
piston.”
Helion has demonstrated the concept
in a D–D reactor with plasmoids that fire once every three minutes, and
it is now seeking $15 million in private financing over the next five
years to develop a full-scale machine that could use D–T fuel to reach
the break-even point, when it generates as much energy as it takes to
run. The company hopes that its reactor could eventually reach the
hotter conditions needed to fuse deuterium with helium-3, another
combination that produces only α-particles and protons, with no neutron
by-products.
Kirtley is optimistic about the
money. “There is a giant market need for low-cost, safe, clean power,”
he says. “So we're seeing a big push in the private investment community
to fund alternative ways to generate it.” And if the fund-raising is
successful, says Kirtley, “our plan is to have our pilot power plant
come online in six years.”
In a spin
Other
alternative concepts stick with D–T fuel, but confine it in different
ways. In Burnaby, Canada, researchers at General Fusion have designed a
reactor in which a plasmoid of D–T will be injected into a spinning
vortex of liquid lead, which will then be crushed inwards by a forest of
pistons. If this compression happens within a few microseconds, the
plasma will implode to create fusion condition
.
One advantage of this design is that the liquid lead does not degrade
when it gets blasted by neutrons, says Michel Laberge, who founded
General Fusion in 2002.
General Fusion has
demonstrated the idea with a small-scale device, using pistons driven by
explosives, and has raised about $50 million from venture capitalists
and the Canadian government. If the company can win another $25 million
or so, Laberge says, it will build a beefier implosion system that can
compress the plasma to the levels needed for fusion — perhaps within the
next two years.
Despite such optimism, Dean
estimates that it will be at least a decade, maybe a lot longer, before
any alternative fusion company produces a working power plant. There is
simply too much new technology to be demonstrated, he says. “I think
these things are well motivated, and should be supported — but I don't
think we're on the verge of a breakthrough.”
It
is not clear how much of that support will come from the US energy
department in the foreseeable future. The department's fusion-energy
programme has provided a modicum of cash for Helion, as well as for some
small-scale academic work on alternative reactors. And its long-shot
funding agency, the Advanced Research Projects Agency—Energy, has
expressed interest in some of the alterative concepts, to the extent of
holding a workshop on them last year. The fusion-energy advisory
committee is preparing a ten-year research plan, due by the start of
next year, that could conceivably lead to more backing for the upstarts.
But funds are tight, and ITER continues to be a huge financial drain.
For
now, the big money will probably have to come from the private sector.
And despite the many technical hurdles, investors seem willing to take a
chance.
“People are starting to think, 'Hey,
maybe there are other ways of doing this!'” says Slough. “Maybe it's
worth a few million to find out.”